Part 06

The last five years

13,354 computing doctorates from the 2021–2025 cohorts, one year out: what each subject got hired to do, and what it paid.

Doctorates 2021–2025 · measured one year after the degree · pay is a panel estimate

The other five parts of this project describe twenty-five years. This one answers the question a student actually asks: if I work on this, what do people who worked on it get hired to do, and what does it pay? Last five graduating cohorts, measured one year after the degree.

13,354 doctorates who filed between 2021 and 2025 and were matched to a career profile. Everything below is that group at the one-year mark.

Pay in the table is the career panel’s estimate for the position, so compare the columns against each other rather than against an offer letter. The last column counts graduates who never appear in any position at all during their first three years.

Dissertation subject Doctorates Into industry Into academia Median estimated pay, industry Middle half Never seen working
Machine learning 2644 51% 21% $189,882 $150,857–$219,370 10%
Computer vision 1532 55% 19% $182,598 $140,511–$214,853 9%
Robotics 1079 46% 24% $165,362 $132,784–$200,672 11%
Architecture & hardware 969 61% 16% $178,375 $150,957–$209,333 10%
Theory 952 44% 26% $182,786 $143,734–$209,639 15%
Security & privacy 879 48% 27% $182,577 $146,381–$212,374 12%
Computational biology 860 47% 25% $158,975 $121,177–$199,009 9%
HCI 736 34% 38% $153,739 $115,653–$197,014 17%
NLP 717 54% 20% $193,787 $156,718–$220,369 14%
Networks 654 50% 24% $172,737 $146,472–$205,689 12%
Languages & SE 498 54% 21% $187,108 $154,923–$213,368 13%
Scientific computing 492 39% 24% $166,123 $128,056–$201,952 12%
Systems & distributed 471 58% 17% $190,690 $162,802–$216,403 12%
IR & data mining 407 53% 20% $182,412 $150,599–$213,382 11%
Graphics & visualisation 272 52% 16% $179,123 $138,810–$211,890 13%
Databases 108 58% 12% $196,929 $178,525–$209,038

Almost everyone lands in a job called research. That word hides the whole story.

Research 54.7% Faculty / teaching 12.3% Software engineering 10.8% ML & data 9.9% Other engineering 5.2% Other 4.9% Hardware 1.8% Security 0.3%
Share of recent doctorates by broad role family one year out.

Research is the modal outcome by a wide margin, and on its own the label is close to useless. Split it by employer and it is two different careers: 3,367 people in industrial research at a median of $184,342, and 1,855 in university research at $68,351. The second is a postdoctoral position, a training stage that happens to be recorded as a job. Any figure that averages the two describes nobody, which is why the table above reports industry pay separately rather than pay overall.

NLP 194k Systems & distributed 191k Machine learning 190k Languages & SE 187k Theory 183k Computer vision 183k Security & privacy 183k IR & data mining 182k Graphics & visualisation 179k Architecture & hardware 178k Networks 173k Scientific computing 166k Robotics 165k Computational biology 159k HCI 154k
Median estimated pay in industry roles, one year out, by dissertation subject (thousands of dollars). The full range is $153,739 to $193,787, about 26% from bottom to top.

How many are never seen working at all

Every graduate below has a career profile. The question is whether any job was ever recorded on it. Following the 2021–2023 cohorts for three years splits them three ways: in a position at year one, missing at year one but appearing by year three, and never recorded at all.

The never-recorded share runs from 8.9% to 16.6% depending on subject, and it is not a reporting lag. The share who were missing at year one and surfaced by year three is never more than 2.4%, so the people missing at year one are with few exceptions still missing three years later. HCI and theory sit at the top of this range, computer vision and computational biology at the bottom.

HCI 16.6% Theory 14.8% NLP 13.6% Graphics & visualisation 12.8% Languages & SE 12.6% Systems & distributed 12.5% Security & privacy 12.2% Scientific computing 11.8% Networks 11.6% Robotics 11.4% IR & data mining 11.3% Machine learning 10.5% Architecture & hardware 9.5% Computer vision 9.3% Computational biology 8.9%
Share never recorded in any position during the first three years after the doctorate, by subject. This is a measure of how many left the observable US labour market, whether by leaving the country or by never keeping a public profile.

Where the degree came from

Institutions are compared on the 2018–2022 cohorts, a window every school in the table covers in full.

Illinois places 58% of its computing doctorates into industry against 54% nationally, at an industry median of $188,326 against $177,373, which puts it 14th of the 59 institutions here. Compared like for like, the 20 institutions with at least 150 doctorates against the 15 subjects with at least 100, pay spreads about 25% across institutions and 26% across subjects. On pay, where you studied and what you studied matter about equally. On destination they part company: the share going into academia varies noticeably more across subjects than across institutions, and that gap widens as you demand larger groups.

Degree-granting institution Doctorates Found working Into industry Into academia Median estimated pay, industry
Stanford University 336 85% 55% 17% $200,832
The University of Chicago 60 42% 27% $200,643
Princeton University 127 87% 53% 28% $198,519
Columbia University 106 84% 58% 20% $194,073
University of Maryland, College Park 204 92% 61% 20% $193,009
Cornell University 175 83% 56% 19% $192,968
University of California, Berkeley 316 91% 57% 25% $191,119
University of California, Los Angeles 169 86% 59% 20% $190,851
University of California, San Diego 174 88% 59% 17% $190,590
Duke University 128 90% 66% 19% $190,486
The University of Wisconsin - Madison 129 89% 57% 26% $190,218
The University of Utah 83 54% 20% $190,026
University of California, Santa Barbara 122 90% 60% 24% $188,704
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 179 88% 58% 20% $188,326
Harvard University 76 49% 32% $186,886
University of Michigan 220 88% 54% 21% $186,840
The University of Texas at Austin 189 90% 72% 11% $186,336
Carnegie Mellon University 179 86% 57% 17% $186,053
Northwestern University 119 86% 58% 19% $184,491
The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 86 64% 19% $184,276

Pay is the narrow axis and destination is the wide one. Across sixteen subjects, industry pay for recent doctorates runs from $153,739 to $193,787, a spread of 26%. Over the same sixteen subjects the share going into academia runs from 12% to 38%, a spread of more than three to one. What a graduate worked on barely moves the paycheque and largely decides the career.